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Tag: rate cuts

CNBC: Turkey’s lira hits a new record low against the dollar as investors brace for another rate cut
Categories Finance HYPED Markets

CNBC: Turkey’s lira hits a new record low against the dollar as investors brace for another rate cut

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on22 September, 2022

NOTICE:  As we prepared this article for  publication, Central Bank slashed interest rates by another … Continue ReadingCNBC: Turkey’s lira hits a new record low against the dollar as investors brace for another rate cut

Erdogan’s refusal to hike interest rates batters Turkey’s economy
Categories Business Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Erdogan’s refusal to hike interest rates batters Turkey’s economy

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on23 February, 2022

Turkey which is battling high inflation and falling currency value has another challenge now: widening … Continue ReadingErdogan’s refusal to hike interest rates batters Turkey’s economy

Turkish Lira: Doomed to devaluation?
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS

Turkish Lira: Doomed to devaluation?

Cem CetingucPosted on2 February, 2022

For investors in Turkey, December 2021 will go down as the month of the white-knuckle … Continue ReadingTurkish Lira: Doomed to devaluation?

Comment:  Will Turkey’s Central Bank ever stop cutting rates?
Categories Atilla Yeşilada Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets

Comment:  Will Turkey’s Central Bank ever stop cutting rates?

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on16 December, 2021

With Fed turning decidedly more hawkish on Wednesday, the other highlight of the week is … Continue ReadingComment:  Will Turkey’s Central Bank ever stop cutting rates?

Currency crisis hits hard in Turkey
Categories Economy General HIGHLIGHTS Markets

Currency crisis hits hard in Turkey

Cem CetingucPosted on9 December, 2021

Turkey’s deepening currency crisis could mark the definitive end of the country’s economic success story … Continue ReadingCurrency crisis hits hard in Turkey

BarCap expects the policy rate to be cut by 300bp to 12% over the next two CB meetings
Categories Finance Markets

BarCap expects the policy rate to be cut by 300bp to 12% over the next two CB meetings

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on7 December, 2021

Inflation to peak at over 30%: Marking to marked the most recent move in TRY, … Continue ReadingBarCap expects the policy rate to be cut by 300bp to 12% over the next two CB meetings

Macro Focus: Upside risks persist as inflation figures approach to record levels
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Macro Focus: Upside risks persist as inflation figures approach to record levels

Cem CetingucPosted on4 December, 20214 December, 2021

Turkey’s CPI increased by 3.51% MoM in November driving YoY CPI from 19.89% to 21.31%. Accordingly, … Continue ReadingMacro Focus: Upside risks persist as inflation figures approach to record levels

Gedik Investment Economist:  CPI inflation may exceed 30% soon
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Gedik Investment Economist:  CPI inflation may exceed 30% soon

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on3 December, 2021

COVER Chart:  Turkey CPI and domestic PPI in November 2021   CPI inflation exceeds expectations … Continue ReadingGedik Investment Economist:  CPI inflation may exceed 30% soon

New Finance Minister reveals Turkey won’t prioritize high interest rates
Categories General HIGHLIGHTS

New Finance Minister reveals Turkey won’t prioritize high interest rates

Cem CetingucPosted on3 December, 20213 December, 2021

Turkey will not prioritize high interest rates under the new economic model, the newly appointed … Continue ReadingNew Finance Minister reveals Turkey won’t prioritize high interest rates

Erdoğan: Low interest rate policy ‘all the way’
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS Politics

Erdoğan: Low interest rate policy ‘all the way’

Cem CetingucPosted on1 December, 2021

President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on Wednesday said there was “no turning back” from the new … Continue ReadingErdoğan: Low interest rate policy ‘all the way’

Turkish 3Q GDP expected to expand rapidly, but…
Categories Economy HYPED

Turkish 3Q GDP expected to expand rapidly, but…

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on25 November, 2021

Turkey’s economy is expected to have expanded 7.5% in the third quarter of the year … Continue ReadingTurkish 3Q GDP expected to expand rapidly, but…

Turkish Lira hits record lows after Erdogan’s rate cut speech
Categories General HIGHLIGHTS

Turkish Lira hits record lows after Erdogan’s rate cut speech

Cem CetingucPosted on23 November, 202123 November, 2021

The Turkish lira has hit a record low of 12.79 against the US dollar after … Continue ReadingTurkish Lira hits record lows after Erdogan’s rate cut speech

Macro Focus | CBRT: Expected cut with delayed announcement
Categories General

Macro Focus | CBRT: Expected cut with delayed announcement

Cem CetingucPosted on22 November, 2021

CBRT cut the policy rate by 100bps to 15%, as expected. The announcement was made with … Continue ReadingMacro Focus | CBRT: Expected cut with delayed announcement

Excessive rate cuts open Pandora’s Box
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS

Excessive rate cuts open Pandora’s Box

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on22 November, 2021

After Turkey’s central bank cut rates by another 100bps last Thursday, the lira plummeted to … Continue ReadingExcessive rate cuts open Pandora’s Box

Morgan Stanley bets on more rate cuts, weaker TL
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS

Morgan Stanley bets on more rate cuts, weaker TL

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on18 November, 2021

We see a 100bp cut to 15.00% by the CBT this week, although a larger … Continue ReadingMorgan Stanley bets on more rate cuts, weaker TL

ANALYSIS:  Cutting interest rates further would be too risky
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS

ANALYSIS:  Cutting interest rates further would be too risky

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on17 November, 2021

Turkey’s central bank is widely anticipated to trim interest rates further on November 18 despite … Continue ReadingANALYSIS:  Cutting interest rates further would be too risky

Deutsche Bank predicts Turkey will cut rates to 14% by year-end
Categories Economy General

Deutsche Bank predicts Turkey will cut rates to 14% by year-end

Cem CetingucPosted on12 November, 2021

Deutsche Bank said it now expected Turkey’s central bank (CBT) to reduce interest rates faster … Continue ReadingDeutsche Bank predicts Turkey will cut rates to 14% by year-end

Rate cuts possess a risk to Turkey’s GDP growth
Categories Economy General

Rate cuts possess a risk to Turkey’s GDP growth

Cem CetingucPosted on5 November, 20215 November, 2021

Turkey’s economy will grow by 9% this year, buoyed by a revival in exports and … Continue ReadingRate cuts possess a risk to Turkey’s GDP growth

JP Morgan: CBRT speeds up monetary easing despite tricky fundamentals
Categories Company & Industry Economy

JP Morgan: CBRT speeds up monetary easing despite tricky fundamentals

Cem CetingucPosted on24 October, 2021

The CBRT managed to surprise the markets yet again and cut its policy by 200bp … Continue ReadingJP Morgan: CBRT speeds up monetary easing despite tricky fundamentals

Turkey’s monetary easing to continue, exchange rate shock in works
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets

Turkey’s monetary easing to continue, exchange rate shock in works

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on2 October, 2021

Standard Chartered said on Friday it now expects Turkey’s central bank to cut interest rates … Continue ReadingTurkey’s monetary easing to continue, exchange rate shock in works

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