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Month: March 2021

Video Commentary:  Turkey on the Verge of Currency Crisis
Categories HIGHLIGHTS Markets

Video Commentary:  Turkey on the Verge of Currency Crisis

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on31 March, 2021

  Turkey on the verge of a currency crisis   President Erdogan’s one-man, no-clue governance … Continue ReadingVideo Commentary:  Turkey on the Verge of Currency Crisis

Truth will out: Reuters – Why an irked Erdogan fired Turkey’s central bank chief
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Truth will out: Reuters – Why an irked Erdogan fired Turkey’s central bank chief

Güldem AtabayPosted on31 March, 2021

Politics drove Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan’s sacking of central bank chief Naci Agbal after just … Continue ReadingTruth will out: Reuters – Why an irked Erdogan fired Turkey’s central bank chief

Bloomberg Economics:  Slower Growth, Higher Inflation, Weaker Lira
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Bloomberg Economics:  Slower Growth, Higher Inflation, Weaker Lira

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on31 March, 2021

After Goldman Sachs, Bloomberg Economics, too, revised its Turkey 2021 forecasts.  Bloomberg expects higher inflation … Continue ReadingBloomberg Economics:  Slower Growth, Higher Inflation, Weaker Lira

Wells Fargo:  Emerging markets flipping to tightening
Categories Emerging Markets

Wells Fargo:  Emerging markets flipping to tightening

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on31 March, 2021

Over the past few weeks, multiple central banks within the emerging markets have started the … Continue ReadingWells Fargo:  Emerging markets flipping to tightening

Turkey avoided recession, however high inflation and Lira volatility remains
Categories General

Turkey avoided recession, however high inflation and Lira volatility remains

Cem CetingucPosted on31 March, 2021

Relations with the EU and the US remain strained: President Erdogan won the June 2018 … Continue ReadingTurkey avoided recession, however high inflation and Lira volatility remains

Turkey’s foreign trade deficit grows in February
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Turkey’s foreign trade deficit grows in February

Güldem AtabayPosted on31 March, 2021

In February Turkey’s exports posted 9.6% yoy growth reaching USD 16.0bn as imports also grew … Continue ReadingTurkey’s foreign trade deficit grows in February

Turkey Economic Confidence Index rose to 98.9 in March
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Turkey Economic Confidence Index rose to 98.9 in March

Güldem AtabayPosted on31 March, 2021

Turkey’s Economic Confidence Index  rose by 3.3% in March from 95.8 in February to 98.9 … Continue ReadingTurkey Economic Confidence Index rose to 98.9 in March

Turkey to complain to WTO over informal Saudi boycott
Categories Business Politics

Turkey to complain to WTO over informal Saudi boycott

Cem CetingucPosted on31 March, 202131 March, 2021

Turkey is to take the semiofficial boycott by Saudi Arabia on made-in-Turkey goods to the … Continue ReadingTurkey to complain to WTO over informal Saudi boycott

AK Party shaken by “powdered sugar” scandal
Categories General

AK Party shaken by “powdered sugar” scandal

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on31 March, 2021

If you are worried AK Party is “Islamizing” Turkey, don’t. It is the amenities of … Continue ReadingAK Party shaken by “powdered sugar” scandal

Turkey: Lira shock leads to lower GDP forecast
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Turkey: Lira shock leads to lower GDP forecast

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on31 March, 2021

The lira pared its seventh day of declines as Turkey’s new central bank governor Sahap … Continue ReadingTurkey: Lira shock leads to lower GDP forecast

Reuters:  ‘We will not be able to pay our bills’: Turks set to lose a COVID-19 income support
Categories Economy General

Reuters:  ‘We will not be able to pay our bills’: Turks set to lose a COVID-19 income support

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on31 March, 2021

Amidst the confusion and loss of economic confidence caused by the swift slide of the … Continue ReadingReuters:  ‘We will not be able to pay our bills’: Turks set to lose a COVID-19 income support

Central Bank’s new Governor Kavcioglu promises positive real yield
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Central Bank’s new Governor Kavcioglu promises positive real yield

Güldem AtabayPosted on30 March, 2021

Turkey’s new Central Bank Governor Sahap Kavcioglu said current elevated levels of inflation require tight … Continue ReadingCentral Bank’s new Governor Kavcioglu promises positive real yield

THY: Strong positioning, geared to leisure travel recovery; reiterate Buy
Categories Company & Industry

THY: Strong positioning, geared to leisure travel recovery; reiterate Buy

Cem CetingucPosted on30 March, 2021

We revise our estimates for Turkish Airlines (THY). Reflecting more upbeat expectations from management post … Continue ReadingTHY: Strong positioning, geared to leisure travel recovery; reiterate Buy

Company Outlook | Mavi: Emerging stronger
Categories Business Company & Industry

Company Outlook | Mavi: Emerging stronger

Cem CetingucPosted on30 March, 202130 March, 2021

Managing inventories, preserving margins: Despite a c26% drop in retail revenues in FY21 and an … Continue ReadingCompany Outlook | Mavi: Emerging stronger

Another midnight presidential decree, another round of TL weakness
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Another midnight presidential decree, another round of TL weakness

Güldem AtabayPosted on30 March, 2021

Turkey’s President Erdoğan sacked the Central Bank Deputy Governor Murat Cetinkaya in a midnight presidential decree … Continue ReadingAnother midnight presidential decree, another round of TL weakness

UPDATE (New case figures added): President Erdogan introduces new but mild curfew measures
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS Politics

UPDATE (New case figures added): President Erdogan introduces new but mild curfew measures

Güldem AtabayPosted on29 March, 202131 March, 2021

Turkey has recorded 37,303 new coronavirus cases in the space of 24 hours, the highest … Continue ReadingUPDATE (New case figures added): President Erdogan introduces new but mild curfew measures

Turkish lira keeps sliding as new Governor’s comments do not anchor
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Turkish lira keeps sliding as new Governor’s comments do not anchor

Güldem AtabayPosted on29 March, 202129 March, 2021

Turkey’s lira lost more than 1% of its value on Monday, continuing its sharp decline … Continue ReadingTurkish lira keeps sliding as new Governor’s comments do not anchor

Erdogan starts a political earthquake in Turkey
Categories Economy Politics

Erdogan starts a political earthquake in Turkey

Cem CetingucPosted on29 March, 2021

Vijay Prashad, Ahmet Tonak Significant developments are underway in Turkey. Most ominously, the government of … Continue ReadingErdogan starts a political earthquake in Turkey

Erdoğan firing central bank governor gamble on snap elections
Categories Economy Güldem Atabay Politics

Erdoğan firing central bank governor gamble on snap elections

Cem CetingucPosted on29 March, 202129 March, 2021

Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan shook international markets by firing the well-regarded governor of the … Continue ReadingErdoğan firing central bank governor gamble on snap elections

Turkey’s economic mess is a policy failure rather than a divine test
Categories Economy Politics

Turkey’s economic mess is a policy failure rather than a divine test

Cem CetingucPosted on29 March, 2021

David Lepeska President Recep Tayyip Erdogan subtly acknowledged the depth of Turkey’s financial woes in … Continue ReadingTurkey’s economic mess is a policy failure rather than a divine test

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