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Tag: Serkan Gonencler

Analysis: Medium Term Program – Government aims to bring down inflation without sacrificing growth
Categories Business Economy HYPED

Analysis: Medium Term Program – Government aims to bring down inflation without sacrificing growth

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on7 September, 2023

The government aims to bring down inflation without sacrificing growth. The government released the new … Continue ReadingAnalysis: Medium Term Program – Government aims to bring down inflation without sacrificing growth

Current account deficits projected to decline in autumn
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Current account deficits projected to decline in autumn

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on14 August, 2023

Improvement in C/A balance in June… In June, there was a C/A surplus of USD674 … Continue ReadingCurrent account deficits projected to decline in autumn

New inflation forecast by Gedik Invest:  69 percent by year-end
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

New inflation forecast by Gedik Invest:  69 percent by year-end

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on27 July, 2023

We revise our end-2023 CPI inflation forecast to 69% from 55% In July, we expect … Continue ReadingNew inflation forecast by Gedik Invest:  69 percent by year-end

C/A deficit rises to UDS33bn in June, may reach USD50bn by end-22
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

C/A deficit rises to UDS33bn in June, may reach USD50bn by end-22

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on12 August, 2022

Turkey’s external deficits are becoming unsustainable … Read More >C/A deficit rises to UDS33bn in June, may reach USD50bn by end-22

Turkish Equities  Strategy: State of Turkish markets amidst  global recession pricing
Categories HIGHLIGHTS Markets

Turkish Equities  Strategy: State of Turkish markets amidst  global recession pricing

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on9 August, 2022

Risk appetite remains sour as the global recession debate intensifies   In these early phases … Continue ReadingTurkish Equities  Strategy: State of Turkish markets amidst  global recession pricing

Turkish Equities: Quarterly Strategy Report: The Impact of Global Slowdown
Categories HIGHLIGHTS Markets

Turkish Equities: Quarterly Strategy Report: The Impact of Global Slowdown

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on21 April, 2022

Russia-Ukraine tension has increased risks of stagflation and even recession As we entered the year … Continue ReadingTurkish Equities: Quarterly Strategy Report: The Impact of Global Slowdown

Commentary:  CPI inflation could test 70% mid-year
Categories Economy HYPED

Commentary:  CPI inflation could test 70% mid-year

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on6 April, 2022

CPI inflation at 5.46% comes broadly in line with expectations in March and rises to … Continue ReadingCommentary:  CPI inflation could test 70% mid-year

ANALYSIS:  CPI inflation at 4.81% exceeds median expectation and rises further to 54.4%
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

ANALYSIS:  CPI inflation at 4.81% exceeds median expectation and rises further to 54.4%

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on4 March, 2022

CPI inflation at 4.81% exceeds median expectation in February and rises to 54.4% in YoY … Continue ReadingANALYSIS:  CPI inflation at 4.81% exceeds median expectation and rises further to 54.4%

2022 Strategy Report:  Policy Normalization in the Global Economy, Heterodox Policies in the Turkish Economy
Categories Business HIGHLIGHTS Markets

2022 Strategy Report:  Policy Normalization in the Global Economy, Heterodox Policies in the Turkish Economy

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on24 January, 2022

The World economy is shifting to policy normalization after the ultra-loose policy setting of the … Continue Reading2022 Strategy Report:  Policy Normalization in the Global Economy, Heterodox Policies in the Turkish Economy

CPI soars past 36 per cent
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

CPI soars past 36 per cent

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on3 January, 2022

CPI inflation significantly exceeded median expectation and rises to 36.1% TurkStat revealed December CPI inflation … Continue ReadingCPI soars past 36 per cent

Gedik Investment Economist:  CPI inflation may exceed 30% soon
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Gedik Investment Economist:  CPI inflation may exceed 30% soon

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on3 December, 2021

COVER Chart:  Turkey CPI and domestic PPI in November 2021   CPI inflation exceeds expectations … Continue ReadingGedik Investment Economist:  CPI inflation may exceed 30% soon

Commentary:  Headline CPI inflation in line, but core inflation considerably high
Categories Economy

Commentary:  Headline CPI inflation in line, but core inflation considerably high

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on5 October, 2021

Both headline CPI inflation and core CPI inflation increased on a YoY basis in September. … Continue ReadingCommentary:  Headline CPI inflation in line, but core inflation considerably high

July payrolls:  Employment growth continues despite volatility in labour market statistics
Categories Business Economy HIGHLIGHTS

July payrolls:  Employment growth continues despite volatility in labour market statistics

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on10 September, 2021

Unemployment rate witnesses 1.4% points increase, as workforce participation rate increases this time   TURKSTAT … Continue ReadingJuly payrolls:  Employment growth continues despite volatility in labour market statistics

Government’s priority for 2022-2024 likely to be “GDP growth”
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Government’s priority for 2022-2024 likely to be “GDP growth”

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on7 September, 2021

The new economy program for 2022-2024 has been unveiled   The medium-term program for the … Continue ReadingGovernment’s priority for 2022-2024 likely to be “GDP growth”

Gedik Invest:  Revising our 2021 GDP growth estimate to 8.3% from 5.2%
Categories Economy HYPED

Gedik Invest:  Revising our 2021 GDP growth estimate to 8.3% from 5.2%

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on2 September, 2021

2Q21 GDP growth reaches 21.7%, in line with expectations   TurkStat announced that 2Q21 GDP … Continue ReadingGedik Invest:  Revising our 2021 GDP growth estimate to 8.3% from 5.2%

Inveo:    Turkey’s current account deficit set to shrink through 2021
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Inveo:    Turkey’s current account deficit set to shrink through 2021

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on14 August, 202114 August, 2021

C/A deficit continues to trend down in June and is likely to do so going … Continue ReadingInveo:    Turkey’s current account deficit set to shrink through 2021

Gedik Invest revises its 2021 GDP growth forecast to 4.5% from 3.5%
Categories Economy HYPED

Gedik Invest revises its 2021 GDP growth forecast to 4.5% from 3.5%

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on31 May, 2021

  1Q21 GDP growth at 7.0% slightly exceeds market expectations TurkStat announced that 1Q21 GDP … Continue ReadingGedik Invest revises its 2021 GDP growth forecast to 4.5% from 3.5%

Turkey:  Budget deficit drops to below 2.0% of GDP as of April
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS

Turkey:  Budget deficit drops to below 2.0% of GDP as of April

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on18 May, 2021

Budget deficit drops to below 2.0% of GDP as of April, mainly due to soaring … Continue ReadingTurkey:  Budget deficit drops to below 2.0% of GDP as of April

Gedik Invest:  Rate cut expectations may be postponed
Categories Finance

Gedik Invest:  Rate cut expectations may be postponed

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on6 May, 2021

CBRT kept its policy rate on hold at 19.0%, which is in line with market … Continue ReadingGedik Invest:  Rate cut expectations may be postponed

Monthly Equity Strategy:   Signs of V-shaped recovery (or not)?
Categories Markets

Monthly Equity Strategy: Signs of V-shaped recovery (or not)?

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on14 July, 202017 July, 2020

          Fast credit growth, the recovery in credit card spending, especially the revival of housing, … Continue ReadingMonthly Equity Strategy: Signs of V-shaped recovery (or not)?

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