Erdogan on USD 128 billion undisclosed reserve sales; no new information lots of polemic

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said authorities used $165 billion of central bank foreign-currency reserves to weather developments in 2019 and 2020, and may use them “again when needed.”

“The central bank currently has around $90 billion in reserves,” he told lawmakers in Ankara on Wednesday. “These reserves may be used again when needed or they may rise above $100 billion” in the future, Erdogan said, referring to the monetary authority’s total gross reserves.

Here is the Kerim Rota article on the true story of the central bank’s fx reserve meltdown. 

The lira extended its decline against the dollar during his speech and traded 0.8% lower at 8.1761 at 1:52 p.m. in Istanbul.

Opposition parties are demanding officials explain a drop in foreign reserves during the period that Berat Albayrak, Erdogan’s son-in-law, was treasury and finance minister. He held the post from July 2018 to November last year.

Global banks including Goldman Sachs predict more than $100 billion of central bank reserves were spent to prevent a disorderly depreciation in the lira last year alone, when the currency came under pressure after a series of large rate cuts to support the pandemic-hit economy.

In 2019, Turkey initially increased sales of foreign currency as the lira weakened in the runup to municipal elections, continuing through a rerun of the ballot in Istanbul which Erdogan’s AK Party lost. Geopolitical tensions with the U.S. later that year battered the currency.

Turkey’s total gross reserves, including gold and money held by the central bank on behalf of commercial lenders, have dropped more than 15% from the beginning of 2020 to stand at
$89.3 billion in April. Net international reserves fell by more than 75% to $9.9 billion, while money borrowed from banks under short-term swaps reached tens of billions of dollars. When those swaps are stripped out from net reserves, they fall below zero, according to Bloomberg calculations (to USD-49 bn) .

In a written interview after his appointment last month, new Governor Sahap Kavcioglu said the central bank would maintain its goal of boosting foreign-exchange reserves, and “may use reserve-boosting tools under appropriate conditions.”