Real Turkey:  Should Turkey raise interest rates? Could she?



Should Turkey raise interest rates? Could she?


  • Real Turkey presents its Turkey spring forecasts


  • 1Q witnessed a slow but steady deterioration in economic fundamentals


  • 2Q could see the economy enter stagnation


  • The big mistake at home: Premature normalization


  • External shocks: US bond yields, strong dollar, energy and food rallies


  • Fiscal and monetary policy have little maneuvering room.


  • TL likely to depreciate for the time being.


  • Current account adjustment delayed to summer.


  • CPI inflation could test 20% temporarily.


  • Economic shocks could translate into political instability.


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WATCH:  A Perfect Storm for Turkish Economy | Real Turkey

Published By: Atilla Yeşilada

GlobalSource Partners’ Turkey Country Analyst Atilla Yesilada is the country’s leading political analyst and commentator. He is known throughout the finance and political science world for his thorough and outspoken coverage of Turkey’s political and financial developments. In addition to his extensive writing schedule, he is often called upon to provide his political expertise on major radio and television channels. Based in Istanbul, Atilla is co-founder of the information platform Istanbul Analytics and is one of GlobalSource’s local partners in Turkey. In addition to his consulting work and speaking engagements throughout the US, Europe and the Middle East, he writes regular columns for Turkey’s leading financial websites VATAN and and has contributed to the financial daily Referans and the liberal daily Radikal.