Optimar poll:  CHP more likely to solve economic crisis than AKP, no-votes mostly coming from CHP

Pro-AKP Optimar research agency conducted the first post-election survey across the country, which revealed very surprising results.  Most participants now think CHP is more likely to solve Turkey’s economic problems than AKP, a first in  recent history.  Contrary to widely-expressed expert view, no-shows at the poll mostly come from CHP, not AKP.

According to Optimar’s post-election survey, citizens think that CHP will solve the ‘economic crisis’, which they see as Turkey’s biggest problem, with 24.3 percent.

According to the survey conducted by Optimar after the March 31 local elections, citizens believe that the Republican People’s Party can solve the ‘economic crisis’, which they see as Turkey’s biggest problem.

 

24.3 percent of those who participated in Optimar’s survey think that the economic crisis can be solved by CHP.

Abdülkadir Selvi, a columnist for the pro-government Hürriyet newspaper, reported Optimar’s post-election survey.

In the survey conducted on 2 thousand people between April 2-5, “What do you think is the most important problem in Turkey today?” was asked. Those who said “Economy” came first with 60.6 percent, followed by Syrians and irregular immigrants with 6.1 percent.

To the question of “Which party do you think will solve this problem?” 24.3 percent of the survey participants replied CHP. The rate of those who say AKP has fallen to second place with 20.2 percent.

 

WHY DID PEOPLE NOT GO TO THE BALLOT?

Optimar also asked 152 people who did not go to the polls why they refrained. Those who say “Reaction to my party” come first with 34.9 percent. It is followed by those who answered “in reaction to the AKP” with 20 percent. While those who say ‘because I am undecided’ come in third place with 19.8 percent, the rate of those who say they didn’t  go because they objected to the candidate is 14.6 percent.

The same 152 people were this time asked the question, “Which party would you  have voted for if you went to the polls?” Those who say CHP come first with 27.9 percent, while those who say AKP come second with 20.9 percent. The Victory Party comes in third place with 9.4 percent, and the New Welfare Party comes in fourth place with 4.8 percent. Those who support pro-Kurdish DEM Party are 2.9 percent, followed by MHP with 2.8 percent. While the rate of those who say İYİ Party is 2.6 percent, the rate of those who point to the Homeland Party is 1.2 percent.

Optimar survey participants were also asked whether they were satisfied with the election results. Those who say they are very satisfied are 16 percent, while the rate of those who say they are satisfied comes first with 37.9 percent. When the two are added together, it reaches 53 percent. While 20 percent of those stated  they were indifferent to results, the rate of those who stated that they were dissatisfied is 18.6 percent. The rate of those who say ‘I am not at all satisfied’ remains at 7.6 percent.

 

Respondents were asked: “What do you think is the most basic message given by the March 31 local elections?”. The first answer was “it was a message to AKP” with 33.3 percent. It is followed by the economic crisis with 21.5 percent. Those who want a change in government come in third place with 19.5 percent, while retirees, who left their mark on these elections, come in fourth place with 5.5 percent.

Optimar also investigated whether the New Welfare Party received votes as a reaction  to  AKP, which pundits believed was too soft on Israel. 73.6 percent of those who participated in the survey were of the opinion that it received reaction votes. Those who say ‘No’ are 26.4 percent.

To the question “Should there be a radical change in the AKP administration based on the election results?”, 84.1 percent of the respondents answered “Yes”, while those who said “No” remained at 15.9 percent.

75.9 percent of the respondents are of the opinion that the participation of ministers in the election campaign reduces the votes. While those who said ‘he increased the votes’ remained at 6.9 percent, 17.2 percent stated that they had no opinion.

Optimar also asked the question, “Should there be a radical change in the Cabinet according to the election results?” While 75.1 percent of those who participated in the survey expressed their opinion in favor of change, those who said ‘No’ remained at 24.9 percent.

 

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Published By: Atilla Yeşilada

GlobalSource Partners’ Turkey Country Analyst Atilla Yesilada is the country’s leading political analyst and commentator. He is known throughout the finance and political science world for his thorough and outspoken coverage of Turkey’s political and financial developments. In addition to his extensive writing schedule, he is often called upon to provide his political expertise on major radio and television channels. Based in Istanbul, Atilla is co-founder of the information platform Istanbul Analytics and is one of GlobalSource’s local partners in Turkey. In addition to his consulting work and speaking engagements throughout the US, Europe and the Middle East, he writes regular columns for Turkey’s leading financial websites VATAN and www.paraanaliz.com and has contributed to the financial daily Referans and the liberal daily Radikal.