Atilla Yeşilada:  Why Erdogan Will Never Win Another Election?


Turkey will hold presidential and general elections within a year, though they could be held earlier.


  • Parliamentary and presidential polls show AKP-MHP and Erdogan falling behind the opposition.


  • Erdogan hasn’t won a presidential poll in 2 months.


  • The voters will punish him for poor economic conditions.


  • Turkish economy is very unlikely to improve until election days.


  • Some pundits claim Erdogan will refuse to accept defeat, or abandon democracy all together.


  • He doesn’t have any institutional support for such efforts.


  • Turkey’s new president will be CHP leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu. The 6-party opposition alliance will control the legislature.



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Published By: Atilla Yeşilada

GlobalSource Partners’ Turkey Country Analyst Atilla Yesilada is the country’s leading political analyst and commentator. He is known throughout the finance and political science world for his thorough and outspoken coverage of Turkey’s political and financial developments. In addition to his extensive writing schedule, he is often called upon to provide his political expertise on major radio and television channels. Based in Istanbul, Atilla is co-founder of the information platform Istanbul Analytics and is one of GlobalSource’s local partners in Turkey. In addition to his consulting work and speaking engagements throughout the US, Europe and the Middle East, he writes regular columns for Turkey’s leading financial websites VATAN and and has contributed to the financial daily Referans and the liberal daily Radikal.