Syria front: Idlib clashes may commence soon

Russian war planes have reportedly carried out their first air strikes in northwest Syria in three months, as a ceasefire in the last rebel-held part of the country begins to crack.

The UK-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, an opposition war monitoring group, said Russian jets targeted rebel-held areas with missiles early Wednesday morning and Tuesday night, following earlier artillery bombardments by Syrian government forces.

The strikes in and around the northwestern province of Idlib are the first in support of President Bashar Al-Assad’s ground forces since a truce brokered with Turkey brought relative calm to the region in early March.

Although there were no immediate reports of casualties, the resumption of violence prompted hundreds of people to flee north towards the Turkish border, where Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the Turkish president, has stationed thousands of troops to oppose any further advance by the Syrian regime and their Russian allies. 

After nine years of civil war, Syria’s rebel forces have been pushed back to a northwestern pocket around Idlib, where the Turkish-backed resistance is dominated by jihadist groups such as Hayaat Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS), led by former members of al-Qaeda.

One Idlib-based activist, Hadi Abdullah, said today’s air strikes targeted a mountain region in Latakia province on the edge of Idlib, and a power station on the northern edge of Hama province which HTS militants had controlled since 2015.

The truce signed in March previously halted a terrifying four-month offensive by President Assad’s forces, supported by Russian air power, which killed at least 500 civilians and forced nearly one million people to flee their homes – many of whom had fled earlier fighting during the war.

There have been minor violations of the truce in recent weeks, war monitors said, such as joint Russian and Turkish military patrols being attacked by militias or blocked by protests. 

But in recent days, both Turkey and the government in Damascus have been sending reinforcements to areas around the Idlib pocket, while Russia has delivered a number of modern MIG-29 military jets to the Syrian Air Force.

Aid groups warned that a resumption in violence amid the coronavirus pandemic could be “catastrophic” for the war-torn country. 

Arab News:  Turkey informs Idlib opposition of incoming operation by Assad, Iran, Russia

Turkey has warned the Syrian opposition groups in the north-west province of Idlib to prepare for a potential military offensive by the Assad regime and its allies Iran and Russia in the coming days, according to a former senior opposition official.

The information was revealed by the former spokesman of the New Syrian Army – now rebranded as the Revolutionary Commando Army – which is part of the US-led Operation Inherent Resolve against Daesh.

READ: Turkey will soon be forced to tackle the rebels in Idlib

Mzahem Alsaloum wrote on Twitter today: “Turkey informs Idlib factions about a potential military operation by Russia, Iran & Assad in southern [south] of the M4 highway.” He added that another source based in Damascus had told him two weeks prior “about preparations and moves in the pro-regime side for a military operation in Idlib.”

As part of the ceasefire deal struck between Turkey and Russia on 5 March, it was agreed that the strategic M4 highway running through southern Idlib would form the basis of a demilitarised zone which would extend six kilometres either side of the highway.

The report comes a day after Russia conducted its first airstrike on the area of the M4 highway since the ceasefire came into effect.

Over the past few months since the deal came into effect, Turkey has also been building up its military presence in the province in anticipation of a renewed offensive, resulting in an estimated 15,000 Turkish troops and over 6,000 military vehicles having been deployed to the region.

Sources:  Yahoo News, Arab News, Yeni Safak

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Published By: Atilla Yeşilada

GlobalSource Partners’ Turkey Country Analyst Atilla Yesilada is the country’s leading political analyst and commentator. He is known throughout the finance and political science world for his thorough and outspoken coverage of Turkey’s political and financial developments. In addition to his extensive writing schedule, he is often called upon to provide his political expertise on major radio and television channels. Based in Istanbul, Atilla is co-founder of the information platform Istanbul Analytics and is one of GlobalSource’s local partners in Turkey. In addition to his consulting work and speaking engagements throughout the US, Europe and the Middle East, he writes regular columns for Turkey’s leading financial websites VATAN and and has contributed to the financial daily Referans and the liberal daily Radikal.