“Pluralism Confronts Radicalization in Türkiye: TEPAV Surveys on Religion and Radical Attitudes in a Muslim Majority Country”

Ankara based independent think-tank TEPAV issues  frequent reports in leading topics on the Turkish agenda, which deserve sharing with an international audience. This report explores the vexing question of how pious citizens of Turkey are. The results are striking. They are not.  The findings may explain why Islamist-conservatives continuously vote for Erdogan, even though the second part of his ongoing reign has been marked with economic volatility, hurting AKP voters the most.  Because, his voters follow King’s religion, and he is the King.


The report focuses on two large-scale surveys conducted in 2016 and 2020, with representative samples of 6,989 and 7,280 individuals, respectively. These surveys included qualitative questions designed to comprehend religious identity and attitudes toward religion in Turkish society, examining the extent of religiosity and the degree to which differences in beliefs and ethnic/religious backgrounds are tolerated. Qualitative here refers to, and is in contrast with, quantitative questions such as whether survey participants fast all through Ramadan, pray five times a day, etc.

A secondary objective of the study was to identify groups within Turkish society exhibiting radical tendencies, i.e., individuals personally intervening, particularly through the practice of takfir and declaring a self-proclaimed Muslim as an infidel (kafir). Notably, the 2016 and 2020 surveys represent the inaugural instance of a qualitative survey on these topics conducted for the first the time in a Muslim country, as far as we know.


The outline

The report is structured into three chapters. Chapter 1 seeks to provide a comprehensive understanding of how religion is perceived and practiced in Türkiye and how it has evolved over time. In Chapter 2, the aim is to establish the extent to which differences in beliefs and religious/ethnic backgrounds are tolerated in Türkiye. Finally, Chapter 3 identifies respondent groups with radical religious attitudes, captured by the practice of takfir or the differentiation of others as infidels (kafir). In this context, an ideological radicalism index is constructed to evaluate survey findings.


Striking  findings

The findings of the report indicate that religion in Türkiye is predominantly a cultural practice rather than institutionally rooted. Simultaneously, the findings reveal a decline in the prevalence of religious practices such as daily prayers, fasting during religious months, and wearing the headscarf, particularly among the younger, more educated, and working populations. Furthermore, the surveys reflect pluralistic attitudes among the predominantly Muslim population.

Little sign of radicalism

Finally, the survey findings reveal that the prevalence of radical religious attitudes among respondents is low and demonstrates a decreasing trend. Social exclusion emerges as a significant factor influencing radical religious attitudes, with religiosity playing a role, albeit to a lesser extent. TEPAV’s upcoming study aims to explore the impact of various socio-economic factors on changing radical religious attitudes.





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Published By: Atilla Yeşilada

GlobalSource Partners’ Turkey Country Analyst Atilla Yesilada is the country’s leading political analyst and commentator. He is known throughout the finance and political science world for his thorough and outspoken coverage of Turkey’s political and financial developments. In addition to his extensive writing schedule, he is often called upon to provide his political expertise on major radio and television channels. Based in Istanbul, Atilla is co-founder of the information platform Istanbul Analytics and is one of GlobalSource’s local partners in Turkey. In addition to his consulting work and speaking engagements throughout the US, Europe and the Middle East, he writes regular columns for Turkey’s leading financial websites VATAN and www.paraanaliz.com and has contributed to the financial daily Referans and the liberal daily Radikal.