Erdogan may have put Syria expedition on hold

The Turkish president put brakes on a new Syria operation after his meeting with the US president on the sidelines of a NATO summit, claims Ragip Soylu writing for Middle East Eye.


Turkey will not hasten to stage a new military operation against armed Kurdish groups in northern Syria, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Friday, putting brakes on the promised offensive targeting the towns of Tal Rifaat and Manbij.


“No need for hurry. We don’t need to do that,” Erdogan told journalists accompanying him to Madrid where he met with US President Joe Biden on the sidelines of the NATO summit.


“We already work in the area. As you know we have ongoing [operations] in northern Iraq as well as northern Syria,” he said, adding that Turkey would begin its new operation in Syria “when the time is right”.


Erdogan’s much-awaited phone call and meeting with Biden appears to have decreased the Turkish president’s appetite for a hasty operation in Syria.   While Iran officially conceded to Turkey’s causes for staging a military camping, reportedly Kremlin is not on board.


Many Ankara insiders think that Erdogan has been leveraging Syria and NATO enlargement topics to make progress in negotiations with Washington on a set of issues such as the Turkish deployment of its Russian-made S-400 missile defense system, its involvement in the American F-35s fighter jet programme, and other regional issues.  However the majority of the opposition columnists believe for objections to NATO enlargement and threats of rolling the army into Syria are domestic propaganda campaigns to bring back the anti-Western and ultra-nationalist constituencies to the fold, which are slowly peeling away from AKP-MHP on account of increasing economic hardship.


Erdogan announced in late May Turkey’s plan to launch another military operation in Syria to “rid northern Syria’s Tal Rifaat and Manbij areas of terrorists”. Earlier this week, he said the military was planning to establish a “30km security zone along our southern border”.


Fourth Syria operation 

The timing of the operation announcement last month was the result of Ankara’s ongoing offensive against  Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) fighters in northern Iraq, where it is bidding to end PKK infiltration by sealing the last remaining land corridor between Turkey and Iraq, Turkish sources told Middle East Eye.


“The recent PKK activities to transfer fresh forces and ammunition to Iraq from Syria triggered a response,” one of the military sources told MEE at the time. Syrian Kurdish sources deny their political entity PYG/PYD intends or actually does threaten Turkey.


The operation would be the fourth of its kind mounted by Ankara in northern Syria since 2016 with the declared purpose of combating threats to Turkey from the Islamic State (IS) group and PKK-allied Syrian Kurdish groups, as well as enabling the resettlement of internally displaced Syrians.


Earlier operations – namely Euphrates Shield in 2016, Olive Branch in 2018 and Peace Spring in 2019 – saw Turkey and its Syrian allies seize border territory previously controlled by the People’s Protection Units (YPG), a group that Ankara says has direct links to the PKK.


Turkey and western governments, including the United States and the European Union, designate the PKK as a terrorist organization.


The US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), of which the YPG is the spearhead, still control large swathes of northeast Syria following the anti-Islamic State campaign involving Kurdish fighters.


Russia, which controls the airspace in northern Syria, warned Ankara in recent weeks that a new operation would cause instability in the country and Turkey should avoid violence.


Follow our  English language YouTube videos  @ REAL TURKEY:


And content at Twitter: @AtillaEng

Facebook:  Real Turkey Channel:


Published By: Atilla Yeşilada

GlobalSource Partners’ Turkey Country Analyst Atilla Yesilada is the country’s leading political analyst and commentator. He is known throughout the finance and political science world for his thorough and outspoken coverage of Turkey’s political and financial developments. In addition to his extensive writing schedule, he is often called upon to provide his political expertise on major radio and television channels. Based in Istanbul, Atilla is co-founder of the information platform Istanbul Analytics and is one of GlobalSource’s local partners in Turkey. In addition to his consulting work and speaking engagements throughout the US, Europe and the Middle East, he writes regular columns for Turkey’s leading financial websites VATAN and and has contributed to the financial daily Referans and the liberal daily Radikal.