Categories Business Finance HIGHLIGHTS Turkish Banks: Sensitivity of capital ratios to currency and asset quality Cem CetingucPosted on25 November, 202125 November, 2021 We update our interactive spreadsheet to stress capital positions with Q3 results: The unfavourable outlook … Continue ReadingTurkish Banks: Sensitivity of capital ratios to currency and asset quality
Categories Finance HYPED Markets CNBC: Turkey uncertainty leaves little appeal for investors, strategist says Atilla YeşiladaPosted on24 November, 2021 The unpredictability of Turkey’s fiscal and monetary policy means investors should stay away until normality … Continue ReadingCNBC: Turkey uncertainty leaves little appeal for investors, strategist says
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS Understanding Turkey’s Phenomenal Currency Collapse | Real Turkey Atilla YeşiladaPosted on24 November, 2021 Understanding Turkey’s Phenomenal Currency Collapse Turkish Lira lost more than 40% of … Continue ReadingUnderstanding Turkey’s Phenomenal Currency Collapse | Real Turkey
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS Excessive rate cuts open Pandora’s Box Atilla YeşiladaPosted on22 November, 2021 After Turkey’s central bank cut rates by another 100bps last Thursday, the lira plummeted to … Continue ReadingExcessive rate cuts open Pandora’s Box
Categories Emerging Markets Finance HIGHLIGHTS Amidst wild gyrations, TL drops into a black hole—expert comments Atilla YeşiladaPosted on18 November, 2021 Turkey’s lira plunged 6% on Thursday, breaching 11 to the dollar for the first time … Continue ReadingAmidst wild gyrations, TL drops into a black hole—expert comments
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS Morgan Stanley bets on more rate cuts, weaker TL Atilla YeşiladaPosted on18 November, 2021 We see a 100bp cut to 15.00% by the CBT this week, although a larger … Continue ReadingMorgan Stanley bets on more rate cuts, weaker TL
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS ANALYSIS: Cutting interest rates further would be too risky Atilla YeşiladaPosted on17 November, 2021 Turkey’s central bank is widely anticipated to trim interest rates further on November 18 despite … Continue ReadingANALYSIS: Cutting interest rates further would be too risky
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets No end in sight for beleaguered Turkish Lira Atilla YeşiladaPosted on16 November, 2021 Turkey’s sickly currency TL, started the day (Tuesday) at 10.07-08 vs the USD, as rate … Continue ReadingNo end in sight for beleaguered Turkish Lira
Categories Company & Industry Finance TUPRS TI | Downgrade to Hold: Low season Cem CetingucPosted on15 November, 2021 Strong rally: Tupras’ share price has rallied 45% in USD terms (vs. a c.5% gain … Continue ReadingTUPRS TI | Downgrade to Hold: Low season
Categories Economy Finance Macro Focus: High single or double digit level of economic growth probable in 3Q21 Cem CetingucPosted on12 November, 2021 In September, IP decreased by 1.5% MoM, but increased by 8.9% YoY. According to the consensus, … Continue ReadingMacro Focus: High single or double digit level of economic growth probable in 3Q21
Categories Economy Finance Macro Focus: CA surplus continued for the second month in a row Cem CetingucPosted on12 November, 2021 In September, the CA posted a monthly surplus of USD1.7bn (Consensus: USD +1.3bn, YF: USD … Continue ReadingMacro Focus: CA surplus continued for the second month in a row
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS Economist (Prof) Ulusoy: If dollar/TL does not stabilize, the entire economy could be disrupted Atilla YeşiladaPosted on29 October, 2021 Economist Prof. Dr. Veysel Ulusoy pointed out that the real danger is the volatility in … Continue ReadingEconomist (Prof) Ulusoy: If dollar/TL does not stabilize, the entire economy could be disrupted
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS Turkey on the verge of a weak currency-inflation spiral Atilla YeşiladaPosted on25 October, 2021 The Turkish lira weakened 1.6% to a record low against the dollar in early Asian … Continue ReadingTurkey on the verge of a weak currency-inflation spiral
Categories Economy Emerging Markets Finance General HIGHLIGHTS Emerging-Market Currencies Hurt by Growth Woes After Rate Hikes Güldem AtabayPosted on18 October, 2021 Central banks’ longstanding strategy of hiking interest rates to defend currencies is failing to work … Continue ReadingEmerging-Market Currencies Hurt by Growth Woes After Rate Hikes
Categories Business Finance Share of foreigners in Borsa Istanbul decreased to 41.54 percent Cem CetingucPosted on15 October, 2021 The share of foreigners in Borsa Istanbul decreased to 41.54 percent. According to the information … Continue ReadingShare of foreigners in Borsa Istanbul decreased to 41.54 percent
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS World Bank: Turkish financial stability threatened by interest rate cuts Atilla YeşiladaPosted on8 October, 2021 Turkey is faced with possible financial instability after the central bank cut interest rates to … Continue ReadingWorld Bank: Turkish financial stability threatened by interest rate cuts
Categories Emerging Markets Finance HYPED Markets Currency view: MPC minutes highlight emphasis on transitory nature of inflation, weaker TL on the horizon Atilla YeşiladaPosted on5 October, 2021 CBT’s minutes from the September MPC meeting highlighted an attitude of dismissing recent inflation pressure … Continue ReadingCurrency view: MPC minutes highlight emphasis on transitory nature of inflation, weaker TL on the horizon
Categories Economy Finance Macro Snapshot: Net FX Position of Non-Financial Companies Cem CetingucPosted on5 October, 2021 In July, net FX position of the non- financials was decreased by USD5.6bn to USD57.6bn with … Continue ReadingMacro Snapshot: Net FX Position of Non-Financial Companies
Categories Business Company & Industry Finance SISE – Buy: 2021 HSBC Global Emerging Markets Forum Cem CetingucPosted on4 October, 2021 Trading update.The renovation market and secondary processor demand continue to keep architectural glass volumes vibrant … Continue ReadingSISE – Buy: 2021 HSBC Global Emerging Markets Forum
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets Turkey’s monetary easing to continue, exchange rate shock in works Atilla YeşiladaPosted on2 October, 2021 Standard Chartered said on Friday it now expects Turkey’s central bank to cut interest rates … Continue ReadingTurkey’s monetary easing to continue, exchange rate shock in works
