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Category: Finance

Finance news from Turkey in English

Turkish Banks: Sensitivity of capital ratios to currency and asset quality
Categories Business Finance HIGHLIGHTS

Turkish Banks: Sensitivity of capital ratios to currency and asset quality

Cem CetingucPosted on25 November, 202125 November, 2021

We update our interactive spreadsheet to stress capital positions with Q3 results: The unfavourable outlook … Continue ReadingTurkish Banks: Sensitivity of capital ratios to currency and asset quality

CNBC:  Turkey uncertainty leaves little appeal for investors, strategist says
Categories Finance HYPED Markets

CNBC:  Turkey uncertainty leaves little appeal for investors, strategist says

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on24 November, 2021

The unpredictability of Turkey’s fiscal and monetary policy means investors should stay away until normality … Continue ReadingCNBC:  Turkey uncertainty leaves little appeal for investors, strategist says

Understanding Turkey’s Phenomenal Currency Collapse | Real Turkey
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS

Understanding Turkey’s Phenomenal Currency Collapse | Real Turkey

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on24 November, 2021

    Understanding Turkey’s Phenomenal Currency Collapse   Turkish Lira lost more than 40% of … Continue ReadingUnderstanding Turkey’s Phenomenal Currency Collapse | Real Turkey

Excessive rate cuts open Pandora’s Box
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS

Excessive rate cuts open Pandora’s Box

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on22 November, 2021

After Turkey’s central bank cut rates by another 100bps last Thursday, the lira plummeted to … Continue ReadingExcessive rate cuts open Pandora’s Box

Amidst wild gyrations, TL drops into a black hole—expert comments
Categories Emerging Markets Finance HIGHLIGHTS

Amidst wild gyrations, TL drops into a black hole—expert comments

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on18 November, 2021

Turkey’s lira plunged 6% on Thursday, breaching 11 to the dollar for the first time … Continue ReadingAmidst wild gyrations, TL drops into a black hole—expert comments

Morgan Stanley bets on more rate cuts, weaker TL
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS

Morgan Stanley bets on more rate cuts, weaker TL

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on18 November, 2021

We see a 100bp cut to 15.00% by the CBT this week, although a larger … Continue ReadingMorgan Stanley bets on more rate cuts, weaker TL

ANALYSIS:  Cutting interest rates further would be too risky
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS

ANALYSIS:  Cutting interest rates further would be too risky

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on17 November, 2021

Turkey’s central bank is widely anticipated to trim interest rates further on November 18 despite … Continue ReadingANALYSIS:  Cutting interest rates further would be too risky

No end in sight for beleaguered Turkish Lira
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets

No end in sight for beleaguered Turkish Lira

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on16 November, 2021

Turkey’s sickly currency TL, started the day (Tuesday) at 10.07-08 vs the USD, as rate … Continue ReadingNo end in sight for beleaguered Turkish Lira

TUPRS TI | Downgrade to Hold: Low season
Categories Company & Industry Finance

TUPRS TI | Downgrade to Hold: Low season

Cem CetingucPosted on15 November, 2021

Strong rally: Tupras’ share price has rallied 45% in USD terms (vs. a c.5% gain … Continue ReadingTUPRS TI | Downgrade to Hold: Low season

Macro Focus: High single or double digit level of economic growth probable in 3Q21
Categories Economy Finance

Macro Focus: High single or double digit level of economic growth probable in 3Q21

Cem CetingucPosted on12 November, 2021

In September, IP decreased by 1.5% MoM, but increased by 8.9% YoY. According to the consensus, … Continue ReadingMacro Focus: High single or double digit level of economic growth probable in 3Q21

Macro Focus: CA surplus continued for the second month in a row
Categories Economy Finance

Macro Focus: CA surplus continued for the second month in a row

Cem CetingucPosted on12 November, 2021

In September, the CA posted a monthly surplus of USD1.7bn (Consensus: USD +1.3bn, YF: USD … Continue ReadingMacro Focus: CA surplus continued for the second month in a row

Economist (Prof) Ulusoy: If  dollar/TL does not stabilize, the entire economy could be disrupted
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS

Economist (Prof) Ulusoy: If  dollar/TL does not stabilize, the entire economy could be disrupted

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on29 October, 2021

Economist Prof. Dr. Veysel Ulusoy pointed out that the real danger is the volatility in … Continue ReadingEconomist (Prof) Ulusoy: If  dollar/TL does not stabilize, the entire economy could be disrupted

Turkey on the verge of a weak currency-inflation spiral
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS

Turkey on the verge of a weak currency-inflation spiral

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on25 October, 2021

The Turkish lira weakened 1.6% to a record low against the dollar in early Asian … Continue ReadingTurkey on the verge of a weak currency-inflation spiral

Emerging-Market Currencies Hurt by Growth Woes After Rate Hikes
Categories Economy Emerging Markets Finance General HIGHLIGHTS

Emerging-Market Currencies Hurt by Growth Woes After Rate Hikes

Güldem AtabayPosted on18 October, 2021

Central banks’ longstanding strategy of hiking interest rates to defend currencies is failing to work … Continue ReadingEmerging-Market Currencies Hurt by Growth Woes After Rate Hikes

Share of foreigners in Borsa Istanbul decreased to 41.54 percent
Categories Business Finance

Share of foreigners in Borsa Istanbul decreased to 41.54 percent

Cem CetingucPosted on15 October, 2021

The share of foreigners in Borsa Istanbul decreased to 41.54 percent. According to the information … Continue ReadingShare of foreigners in Borsa Istanbul decreased to 41.54 percent

World Bank:  Turkish financial stability threatened by interest rate cuts
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS

World Bank:  Turkish financial stability threatened by interest rate cuts

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on8 October, 2021

Turkey is faced with possible financial instability after the central bank cut interest rates to … Continue ReadingWorld Bank:  Turkish financial stability threatened by interest rate cuts

Currency view:  MPC minutes highlight emphasis on transitory nature of inflation, weaker TL  on the horizon
Categories Emerging Markets Finance HYPED Markets

Currency view:  MPC minutes highlight emphasis on transitory nature of inflation, weaker TL  on the horizon

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on5 October, 2021

CBT’s minutes from the September MPC meeting highlighted an attitude of dismissing recent inflation pressure … Continue ReadingCurrency view:  MPC minutes highlight emphasis on transitory nature of inflation, weaker TL  on the horizon

Macro Snapshot: Net FX Position of Non-Financial Companies
Categories Economy Finance

Macro Snapshot: Net FX Position of Non-Financial Companies

Cem CetingucPosted on5 October, 2021

In July, net FX position of the non- financials was decreased by USD5.6bn to USD57.6bn with … Continue ReadingMacro Snapshot: Net FX Position of Non-Financial Companies

SISE – Buy: 2021 HSBC Global Emerging Markets Forum
Categories Business Company & Industry Finance

SISE – Buy: 2021 HSBC Global Emerging Markets Forum

Cem CetingucPosted on4 October, 2021

Trading update.The renovation market and secondary processor demand continue to keep architectural glass volumes vibrant … Continue ReadingSISE – Buy: 2021 HSBC Global Emerging Markets Forum

Turkey’s monetary easing to continue, exchange rate shock in works
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets

Turkey’s monetary easing to continue, exchange rate shock in works

Atilla YeşiladaPosted on2 October, 2021

Standard Chartered said on Friday it now expects Turkey’s central bank to cut interest rates … Continue ReadingTurkey’s monetary easing to continue, exchange rate shock in works

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