Arab News:  Inflation eats into Turkey’s Eid feast

Turkey is celebrating one of her saddest Eid’s in the 21st Century, with 22% unemployment, 80% inflation, a shaky currency which undermines mood and economic sentiment, as well as excruciating poverty amidst a widening gap between the rich and the poor.    To  make matters worse, a day before Eid a physician was killed by the son of a patient who passed away, which compelled health care workers to a 2 day strike.  The  doctors who tried to protest the death of their colleague were met with excessive force by the police, and a vicious social media campaign by AKP’s paid AK-trolls who painted them as drunkards and traitors.  One imam in Konya went as far decreeing the murder of healthcare professional on strike as acceptable by Quranic standards. This event is illustrative of the callous disregard of Erdogan government and his party towards poverty, suffering and social unrest.  Divide, poor and tried, citizens or Turkey won’t even be able to find solace in the traditional Eid feast provided by gifts of meat from richer neighbors.  Arab News tells the sad story of Turkey’s worst Eid from the perspective of herders who offer their livestock to pious citizens, who traditionally slaughter sheep, goat or oxen to  honor Allah.

 

With inflation in Turkey galloping, the sheep Gul Er buys every year for the festival of sacrifice in Istanbul looks agonizingly out of reach.

 

Prices have doubled or even tripled since President Recep Tayyip Erdogan began an unorthodox economic experiment last year that has seen Turks’ living standards suffer.

 

The young mother hopes to bargain down the price on one of the skimpiest-looking animals at a livestock fair held under white tents in a conservative corner of the city before the Kurban Bayrami (Eid Al-Adha) holiday.

 

“It is a sacred duty,” she said of buying a sheep, which along with oxen and goats are sacrificed, with the meat traditionally shared with the poor, friends and neighbors.

 

“But this year, prices are unaffordable,” Er said, the stench of thousands of animals mixing with the sounds of haggling in the heavy summer air, ahead of Saturday’s first full day of festivities.

 

Annual inflation in Turkey has officially reached 78.6 percent, although economists and many ordinary Turks doubt government data.

 

Even if the official figures are to be believed, that is higher than in any other emerging market and nearly 10 times the record levels rocking the European Union, where the cost of living is unleashing political crises.

 

An independent survey prepared by the ENAG group — and believed by most Turks — puts the annual inflation rate at 175 percent.

 

Besides clouding Erdogan’s chances in next year’s election, these figures spell trouble for the merchants at the Istanbul animal fair.

 

Turkey’s agricultural chambers union chief Semsi Bayraktar expects sales to fall by a quarter this year.

 

Galip Toklu, a breeder who came to the 40,000-square-meter fair from the Black Sea city of Samsun, listed the ways inflation snowballs into seemingly endless problems.

 

Erdogan’s Lethal Economic Legacy

 

The cost of animal feed has quadrupled while the amount he pays to drive his livestock to Istanbul has tripled since the last Kurban Bayrami, forcing Toklu to double the price of his meat.

 

“Last year, I sold 500 kg of beef for 20,000 liras. This year, I set my prices at 45,000 liras,” he said.

 

Yet few can now afford Toklu’s beef, while selling it any cheaper could put him out of business.

 

“Customers are unavoidably upset,” he said, his face sullen under a wide-brimmed hat.

 

While this year’s animal fair looks huge, its 160 tents are a fraction of the 500 erected in past years.

 

As the fair winds down, breeder Sinas Ates looks despondent, having failed to make a single sale in two days. Livestock farming in Turkey is “finished,” he grumbled.

 

Erdogan Wants To Silence Social Media, He Will Fail

 

Just like the sacrifice of sheep, Erdogan’s economic experiment — dubbed “Erdonomics” by skeptical global markets — is also linked to his faith.

 

High interest rates cause prices to rise, according to Erdogan’s logic, which contradicts accepted economic orthodoxy. So Erdogan has pushed the central bank to set interest rates even lower.

 

Analysts at Capital Economics in London see the possibility of a crash of the lira as “a major risk.”

 

At the market, Salih Yeter has responded to the crisis by coming out to look for the perfect sheep with seven friends, who will all contribute to the purchase.

 

“People usually can’t afford to eat meat,” the 57-year-old said, adding that giving away meat to the poor is particularly important in times of trouble.

 

The price of food has soared by 93 percent in the past year, according to official data, with meat prices pushing even higher.

 

This is especially painful for Er, whose daughter has a metabolic condition that restricts her to a meat diet.

 

“I can’t even respect my daughter’s diet,” the mother whispered.

 

But respect for the holy holiday’s traditions is binding, said Selahattin Kose, a Hajji from the eastern city of Erzurum.

 

“Prices have doubled, but we have to deal with it,” Kose said. “It’s Allah’s orders.”

 

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Published By: Atilla Yeşilada

GlobalSource Partners’ Turkey Country Analyst Atilla Yesilada is the country’s leading political analyst and commentator. He is known throughout the finance and political science world for his thorough and outspoken coverage of Turkey’s political and financial developments. In addition to his extensive writing schedule, he is often called upon to provide his political expertise on major radio and television channels. Based in Istanbul, Atilla is co-founder of the information platform Istanbul Analytics and is one of GlobalSource’s local partners in Turkey. In addition to his consulting work and speaking engagements throughout the US, Europe and the Middle East, he writes regular columns for Turkey’s leading financial websites VATAN and www.paraanaliz.com and has contributed to the financial daily Referans and the liberal daily Radikal.