Turkey’s Agricultural Producer Prices Jump 43pct Annually in January
agriculture
Turkey’s agricultural sector entered 2026 with strong price momentum, according to fresh data from the Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat). The Agricultural Producer Price Index (Agricultural PPI) rose 8.46 percent in January compared to the previous month and surged 43.58 percent year-on-year.
On a 12-month average basis, the increase was 38.18 percent, underscoring sustained upward pressure on agricultural production costs. The index, calculated with 2020 as the base year, reached 107.41 in January 2026.
These figures highlight ongoing inflationary dynamics in the agricultural supply chain, a key driver of food prices and overall consumer inflation.
Monthly Increase Led by Forestry Products
Breaking down the January data reveals notable differences across sub-sectors. Forestry products and related services recorded the highest monthly increase, climbing 14.36 percent. This category outpaced agriculture and hunting-related products and services, which rose 8.42 percent during the same period.
Meanwhile, fishing and aquaculture products posted a more moderate monthly increase of 4.08 percent.
Variation across sectors illustrates how specific supply conditions and seasonal factors can drive price movements across agricultural branches.
Annual Surge Driven by Fruit Prices
Yearly, the most dramatic increase was observed in soft and stone fruits. This subgroup experienced a striking 109.71 percent annual rise, marking the highest growth among all categories.
Such sharp increases in fruit prices can significantly affect food markets, particularly in economies where fresh produce forms a substantial part of household consumption. Weather conditions, production costs, and export demand often play a decisive role in shaping fruit price volatility.
Vegetables See Sharpest Monthly Spike
When examining monthly changes, the vegetables and melons–watermelons, roots and tubers category led the surge with a 30.43 percent increase. This substantial rise underscores the sensitivity of vegetable prices to short-term supply shifts and seasonal transitions.
In the broader main group classification, single-year (annual) crop products rose 12.14 percent month-on-month. Multi-year (perennial) crop products increased by 7.00 percent, while live animals and animal products posted a 4.02 percent monthly gain.
The data suggests that plant-based agricultural products drove much of the January acceleration, particularly in fresh produce segments.
Implications for Food Inflation
The Agricultural PPI serves as a leading indicator for potential movements in retail food prices. When producer prices rise sharply, downstream effects may be observed in consumer markets, depending on supply chain dynamics and pricing strategies.
The 8.46 percent monthly increase signals that cost pressures remain elevated at the production stage. Although not all producer price increases are immediately passed on to consumers, persistent growth in agricultural input costs can eventually feed into broader food inflation.
Economists closely monitor Agricultural PPI data to assess risks to overall inflation trends. In Turkey, where food expenditure accounts for a significant portion of household budgets, agricultural price movements carry considerable economic and social importance.
Sectoral Breakdown Reflects Diverse Dynamics
The January report reveals differentiated inflation patterns within agriculture:
Agriculture and hunting-related products and services: +8.42 percent monthly
Forestry products and related services: +14.36 percent monthly
Fishing and aquaculture products: +4.08 percent monthly
Main product groups:
Single-year crop products: +12.14 percent monthly
Perennial crop products: +7.00 percent monthly
Live animals and animal products: +4.02 percent monthly
The greatest annual change: Soft and stone fruits +109.71 percent
The greatest monthly change: Vegetables and melons–watermelons, roots and tubers +30.43 percent
These figures indicate that fresh produce categories remain the most volatile segments, influenced by harvest cycles, climate conditions, and input costs.
As 2026 unfolds, agricultural price developments will remain central to inflation monitoring. Sustained increases at the producer level may reinforce food price pressures unless offset by improved yields or supply-side stabilization.